Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.055108 0.064601 0.075194 0.087885 0.102673 0.119357 0.139610
2025-08-24 0.040137 0.052394 0.067554 0.087659 0.113608 0.145963 0.189371
2025-08-31 0.031099 0.044104 0.061512 0.086470 0.121302 0.168163 0.236001
2025-09-07 0.026056 0.039560 0.058847 0.088323 0.132170 0.194932 0.291582
2025-09-14 0.021721 0.034995 0.055052 0.087453 0.138389 0.215304 0.340236
2025-09-21 0.018141 0.030829 0.050995 0.085230 0.141775 0.231335 0.383881
2025-09-28 0.015248 0.027211 0.047127 0.082508 0.143643 0.244775 0.424643
2025-10-05 0.013726 0.025617 0.046271 0.084518 0.153379 0.271894 0.491130
2025-10-12 0.012248 0.023843 0.044802 0.085155 0.160662 0.295522 0.554333
2025-10-19 0.010953 0.022190 0.043279 0.085406 0.167149 0.318329 0.618662
2025-10-26 0.009982 0.021002 0.042433 0.086755 0.175755 0.345852 0.694937
2025-11-02 0.009293 0.020265 0.042335 0.089505 0.187346 0.380230 0.788417
2025-11-09 0.008080 0.018279 0.039518 0.086468 0.187134 0.391978 0.839273
2025-11-16 0.007277 0.017056 0.038108 0.086176 0.192573 0.415756 0.917938
2025-11-23 0.006505 0.015780 0.036403 0.084994 0.195913 0.435520 0.990517
2025-11-30 0.006053 0.015171 0.036075 0.086813 0.206059 0.470903 1.101381
2025-12-07 0.005468 0.014153 0.034673 0.085957 0.209988 0.493062 1.185271
2025-12-14 0.004871 0.013012 0.032822 0.083771 0.210492 0.507503 1.253080
2025-12-21 0.004319 0.011899 0.030883 0.081095 0.209442 0.518168 1.313185
2025-12-28 0.004074 0.011554 0.030803 0.083071 0.220140 0.557951 1.448904
2026-01-04 0.003784 0.011044 0.030231 0.083697 0.227485 0.590417 1.570347
2026-01-11 0.003505 0.010520 0.029552 0.083944 0.233874 0.621231 1.691341
2026-01-18 0.003296 0.010166 0.029283 0.085270 0.243314 0.660926 1.840393